Ligue 1Saturday, 17 January 2026 · Full-time5-1✕
TOU
Toulouse
VS
NIC
Nice
Toulouse vs Nice Prediction
Under2.5 goals
52% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Toulouse vs Nice
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Toulouse against Nice (Ligue 1), rated at 52% confidence. Matches involving Toulouse produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Nice it is 2.0 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 52%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 5-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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2.4
avg goals, Toulouse last 5
2.0
avg goals, Nice last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Toulouse
Toulouse 0-3 Lens
Over 2.5✕Jan 02, 2026
FC Paris 0-3 Toulouse
Over 2.5✕Dec 13, 2025
Toulouse 1-0 Strasbourg
Under 2.5✓Dec 06, 2025
Marseille 2-2 Toulouse
Over 2.5✕Nov 29, 2025
Toulouse 0-1 Angers SCO
Under 2.5✓Nov 23, 2025
Nice
Nice 1-1 Strasbourg
Under 2.5✓Jan 03, 2026
Lens 2-0 Nice
Under 2.5✓Dec 14, 2025
Nice 0-1 Sporting de Braga
Under 2.5✓Dec 11, 2025
Nice 0-1 Angers SCO
Under 2.5✓Dec 07, 2025
Lorient 3-1 Nice
Over 2.5✕Nov 30, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Toulouse vs Nice, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Nice | Toulouse | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Toulouse | Nice | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Nice | Toulouse | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Toulouse | Nice | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Nice | Toulouse | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |