Home/Germany Tips/FC Koln vs Mainz 05
BundesligaSaturday, 17 January 2026 · Full-time2-1✕
FC

FC Koln

VS
MAI

Mainz 05

FC Koln vs Mainz 05 Prediction

Under2.5 goals
86% confidence

Why we picked this for FC Koln vs Mainz 05

Under 2.5 goals is our call for FC Koln against Mainz 05 (Bundesliga), rated at 86% confidence. Matches involving FC Koln produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Mainz 05 it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 86%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, FC Koln last 5
2.6
avg goals, Mainz 05 last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

FC Koln
FC Koln 1-3 Bayern Munich
Jan 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
FC Heidenheim 2-2 FC Koln
Jan 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
FC Koln 0-1 Union Berlin
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-0 FC Koln
Dec 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
FC Koln 1-1 St.Pauli
Dec 06, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Mainz 05
Mainz 05 2-1 FC Heidenheim
Jan 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Union Berlin 2-2 Mainz 05
Jan 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05 0-0 St.Pauli
Dec 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Mainz 05 2-0 Samsunspor
Dec 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz 05
Dec 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

FC Koln vs Mainz 05, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 24, 2025Mainz 05FC Koln0-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 28, 2024Mainz 05FC Koln1-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 10, 2023FC KolnMainz 050-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 15, 2023FC KolnMainz 051-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 21, 2022Mainz 05FC Koln5-0
Over 2.5✕