Home/Portugal Tips/AVS vs Arouca
Primeira LigaSaturday, 17 January 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
AVS

AVS

VS
ARO

Arouca

AVS vs Arouca Prediction

Under2.5 goals
50% confidence

Why we picked this for AVS vs Arouca

Our pick for AVS vs Arouca in Primeira Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 50% confidence. Recent form: 3 of AVS's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Arouca (2.6 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 2 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. With 50% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, AVS last 5
2.6
avg goals, Arouca last 5
33%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

AVS
AVS 0-2 Moreirense
Jan 03, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Porto 2-0 AVS
Dec 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
AVS 2-2 Nacional
Dec 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 6-0 AVS
Dec 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕
AVS 1-2 Rio Ave
Dec 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Arouca
Tondela 3-1 Arouca
Jan 03, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Arouca 2-2 Gil Vicente
Dec 28, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Santa Clara 0-0 Arouca
Dec 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Arouca 1-0 Alverca
Dec 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Estrela da Amadora 3-1 Arouca
Dec 07, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 3 meetings

AVS vs Arouca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 09, 2025AroucaAVS3-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 08, 2025AVSArouca0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 05, 2024AroucaAVS1-1
Under 2.5✓