Home/England Tips/Preston North End vs Derby County
ChampionshipSaturday, 17 January 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
PRE

Preston North End

VS
DER

Derby County

Preston North End vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
86% confidence

Why we picked this for Preston North End vs Derby County

For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Preston North End vs Derby County, at 86% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Preston North End's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Derby County's games averaged 2.6, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 86%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Preston North End last 5
2.6
avg goals, Derby County last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Preston North End
Preston North End 0-1 Wigan Athletic
Jan 09, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Bristol City 0-2 Preston North End
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Preston North End 3-0 Sheffield Wednesday
Jan 01, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Wrexham 2-1 Preston North End
Dec 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City 0-0 Preston North End
Dec 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Derby County
Derby County 1-3 Leeds United
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 1-2 Wrexham
Jan 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 1-0 Middlesbrough
Jan 01, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Leicester City 2-1 Derby County
Dec 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham 1-1 Derby County
Dec 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Preston North End vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 20, 2025Derby CountyPreston North End0-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 02, 2025Derby CountyPreston North End2-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 23, 2024Preston North EndDerby County1-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 02, 2022Derby CountyPreston North End1-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 16, 2021Preston North EndDerby County0-0
Under 2.5✓