Home/Australia Tips/Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory
A-LeagueSaturday, 17 January 2026 · Full-time2-1✓
ADE

Adelaide United

VS
MEL

Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Over2.5 goals
66% confidence

Why we picked this for Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Adelaide United against Melbourne Victory (A-League), rated at 66% confidence. Matches involving Adelaide United produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Melbourne Victory it is 3.2 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. The 66% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-1, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Adelaide United last 5
3.2
avg goals, Melbourne Victory last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix 2-2 Adelaide United
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast Mariners
Jan 04, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Adelaide United 3-2 Western Sydney
Dec 27, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Perth Glory 0-1 Adelaide United
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne Victory 2-1 Adelaide United
Dec 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory 0-1 Western Sydney
Jan 10, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne Victory 3-2 Perth Glory
Jan 02, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory 5-1 Wellington Phoenix
Dec 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne City FC 0-1 Melbourne Victory
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne Victory 2-1 Adelaide United
Dec 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 13, 2025Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United2-1
Over 2.5✓
Mar 29, 2025Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United5-3
Over 2.5✓
Jan 18, 2025Adelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory3-2
Over 2.5✓
Mar 09, 2024Adelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory1-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 30, 2023Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United2-0
Under 2.5✕