Home/Spain Tips/Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano
Primera DivisionSunday, 18 January 2026 · Full-time3-0✕
CEL

Celta Vigo

VS
RAY

Rayo Vallecano

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Under2.5 goals
96% confidence

Why we picked this for Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Celta Vigo against Rayo Vallecano (Primera Division), rated at 96% confidence. Matches involving Celta Vigo produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Rayo Vallecano it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 96%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Celta Vigo last 5
3.0
avg goals, Rayo Vallecano last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Celta Vigo
Sevilla 0-1 Celta Vigo
Jan 12, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Celta Vigo 4-1 Valencia
Jan 03, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Real Oviedo 0-0 Celta Vigo
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Albacete 2-2 Celta Vigo
Dec 17, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Celta Vigo 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Dec 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Rayo Vallecano
Deportivo Alaves 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
Jan 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Granada 1-3 Rayo Vallecano
Jan 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe
Jan 02, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Dec 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 21, 2025Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo1-1
Under 2.5✓
May 18, 2025Celta VigoRayo Vallecano1-2
Over 2.5✕
Jan 10, 2025Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo2-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 31, 2024Celta VigoRayo Vallecano0-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 11, 2023Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo0-0
Under 2.5✓