Home/Mexico Tips/Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca
Liga MXSunday, 18 January 2026 · Full-time0-0✕
TIG

Tigres

VS
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction

Over2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Tigres against Deportivo Toluca (Liga MX), rated at 74% confidence. Matches involving Tigres produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Deportivo Toluca it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Tigres last 5
2.8
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Tigres
Tigres 0-1 Pumas UNAM
Jan 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico San Luis 1-2 Tigres
Jan 12, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 2-1 Tigres
Dec 15, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Tigres 1-0 Deportivo Toluca
Dec 12, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Tigres 1-1 Cruz Azul
Dec 07, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca
Deportivo Toluca 3-1 Santos Laguna
Jan 15, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Monterrey 0-1 Deportivo Toluca
Jan 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 2-1 Tigres
Dec 15, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Tigres 1-0 Deportivo Toluca
Dec 12, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 3-2 Monterrey
Dec 07, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 15, 2025Deportivo TolucaTigres2-1
Over 2.5✓
Dec 12, 2025TigresDeportivo Toluca1-0
Under 2.5✕
Jul 27, 2025Deportivo TolucaTigres3-4
Over 2.5✓
May 18, 2025Deportivo TolucaTigres3-0
Over 2.5✓
May 15, 2025TigresDeportivo Toluca1-1
Under 2.5✕