Home/Australia Tips/Macarthur Sydney vs Melbourne City FC
A-LeagueSaturday, 24 January 2026 · Full-time6-2✓
MAC

Macarthur Sydney

VS
MEL

Melbourne City FC

Macarthur Sydney vs Melbourne City FC Prediction

Over2.5 goals
55% confidence

Why we picked this for Macarthur Sydney vs Melbourne City FC

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Macarthur Sydney against Melbourne City FC (A-League), rated at 55% confidence. Matches involving Macarthur Sydney produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Melbourne City FC it is 1.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 55%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 6-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Macarthur Sydney last 5
1.8
avg goals, Melbourne City FC last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Macarthur Sydney
Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Macarthur Sydney
Jan 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Macarthur Sydney 0-3 Sydney
Jan 10, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Macarthur Sydney 1-1 Auckland
Jan 05, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Western Sydney 0-1 Macarthur Sydney
Jan 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Newcastle Jets 4-5 Macarthur Sydney
Dec 26, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne City FC
Melbourne City FC 2-1 Auckland
Jan 16, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne City FC 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Jan 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne City FC 1-0 Brisbane Roar FC
Jan 06, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne City FC 0-0 Sydney
Jan 03, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne City FC 1-3 Perth Glory
Dec 28, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Macarthur Sydney vs Melbourne City FC, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 23, 2025Melbourne City FCMacarthur Sydney1-1
Under 2.5✕
Mar 07, 2025Melbourne City FCMacarthur Sydney2-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 25, 2025Macarthur SydneyMelbourne City FC1-0
Under 2.5✕
Mar 01, 2024Macarthur SydneyMelbourne City FC2-0
Under 2.5✕
Nov 12, 2023Melbourne City FCMacarthur Sydney3-3
Over 2.5✓