Arsenal
Manchester United
Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction
Why we picked this for Arsenal vs Manchester United
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Arsenal against Manchester United (Premier League), rated at 84% confidence. Matches involving Arsenal produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Manchester United it is 2.6 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 5 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 84%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-3. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal vs Manchester United, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Manchester United | Arsenal | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Manchester United | Arsenal | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Arsenal | Manchester United | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 04, 2024 | Arsenal | Manchester United | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 12, 2024 | Manchester United | Arsenal | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |