Home/Portugal Tips/Oliveirense vs Penafiel
Segunda LigaSunday, 25 January 2026 · Full-time2-1✓
OLI

Oliveirense

VS
PEN

Penafiel

Oliveirense vs Penafiel Prediction

Over2.5 goals
89% confidence

Why we picked this for Oliveirense vs Penafiel

Our pick for Oliveirense vs Penafiel in Segunda Liga is Over 2.5 goals, with 89% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Oliveirense's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Penafiel (1.6 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 89%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Oliveirense last 5
1.6
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Oliveirense
SC Farense 0-0 Oliveirense
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Oliveirense 3-4 Feirense
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Felgueiras 1-0 Oliveirense
Jan 03, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Lusitania 0-1 Oliveirense
Dec 22, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Oliveirense 2-3 Chaves
Dec 12, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Penafiel
Penafiel 0-2 Portimonense
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Penafiel 1-2 Pacos Ferreira
Jan 04, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Penafiel 1-0 Torreense
Dec 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Porto II 1-0 Penafiel
Dec 12, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Penafiel 1-0 Uniao Leiria
Dec 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Oliveirense vs Penafiel, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 17, 2025PenafielOliveirense0-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 20, 2025OliveirensePenafiel2-2
Over 2.5✓
Aug 11, 2024PenafielOliveirense4-3
Over 2.5✓
Feb 03, 2024PenafielOliveirense1-1
Under 2.5✕
Aug 27, 2023OliveirensePenafiel3-1
Over 2.5✓