Home/England Tips/Chelsea vs Newcastle
FA CupSunday, 28 January 2018 · Full-time3-0✕
CHE

Chelsea

VS
NEW

Newcastle

Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction

Under2.5 goals
52% confidence

Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Newcastle

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Chelsea against Newcastle (FA Cup), rated at 52% confidence. Matches involving Chelsea produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Newcastle it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 52% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 3-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
2.2
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chelsea
Brighton 0-4 Chelsea
Jan 20, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 1-1 Norwich
Jan 17, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 0-0 Leicester City
Jan 13, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Norwich 0-0 Chelsea
Jan 06, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Arsenal 2-2 Chelsea
Jan 03, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle
Manchester City 3-1 Newcastle
Jan 20, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 1-1 Swansea
Jan 13, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Newcastle 3-1 Luton Town
Jan 06, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City 0-1 Newcastle
Jan 01, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Newcastle 0-0 Brighton
Dec 30, 2017
Under 2.5✓

Last meeting

Chelsea vs Newcastle, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 02, 2017ChelseaNewcastle3-1
Over 2.5✕