Vitoria Guimaraes
Moreirense
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Prediction
Why we picked this for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense
Our pick for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense in Primeira Liga is Over 2.5 goals, with 71% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Moreirense (1.4 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 71% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 1-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Moreirense | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Moreirense | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 03, 2024 | Vitoria Guimaraes | Moreirense | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Vitoria Guimaraes | Moreirense | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 05, 2023 | Moreirense | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |