Home/England Tips/Bristol City vs Derby County
ChampionshipFriday, 30 January 2026 · Full-time0-5✕
BRI

Bristol City

VS
DER

Derby County

Bristol City vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
78% confidence

Why we picked this for Bristol City vs Derby County

Our pick for Bristol City vs Derby County in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 78% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Bristol City's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.4 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Derby County (2.6 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 78%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-5. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Bristol City last 5
2.6
avg goals, Derby County last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bristol City
Bristol City 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
Jan 24, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Ipswich Town 2-0 Bristol City
Jan 20, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Oxford United 0-0 Bristol City
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Bristol City 5-1 Watford
Jan 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Bristol City 0-2 Preston North End
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Derby County
Derby County 1-1 West Bromwich Albion
Jan 23, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Charlton Athletic 1-2 Derby County
Jan 20, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Preston North End 0-1 Derby County
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 1-3 Leeds United
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 1-2 Wrexham
Jan 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Bristol City vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 22, 2025Derby CountyBristol City1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jan 04, 2025Bristol CityDerby County1-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 31, 2024Derby CountyBristol City3-0
Over 2.5✕
Apr 23, 2022Derby CountyBristol City1-3
Over 2.5✕
Dec 04, 2021Bristol CityDerby County1-0
Under 2.5✓