Home/France Tips/US Concarneau vs Bourg
NacionalFriday, 30 January 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
US

US Concarneau

VS
BOU

Bourg

US Concarneau vs Bourg Prediction

Under2.5 goals
83% confidence

Why we picked this for US Concarneau vs Bourg

Under 2.5 goals is our call for US Concarneau against Bourg (Nacional), rated at 83% confidence. Matches involving US Concarneau produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Bourg it is 2.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 83%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, US Concarneau last 5
2.4
avg goals, Bourg last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

US Concarneau
US Concarneau 3-3 Caen
Jan 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Paris 13 Atletico 0-0 US Concarneau
Dec 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓
US Concarneau 2-2 Saint-Brieuc
Dec 05, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Rouen 0-0 US Concarneau
Nov 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓
US Concarneau 3-0 Orleans
Nov 07, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Bourg
Bourg 1-1 Chateauroux
Jan 23, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Valenciennes 3-1 Bourg
Jan 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Villefranche 0-1 Bourg
Dec 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Bourg 1-3 Sochaux
Dec 05, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Caen 1-0 Bourg
Nov 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

US Concarneau vs Bourg, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 22, 2025BourgUS Concarneau0-2
Under 2.5✓
Apr 18, 2025BourgUS Concarneau0-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 06, 2024US ConcarneauBourg2-1
Over 2.5✕
May 19, 2023US ConcarneauBourg3-2
Over 2.5✕
Jan 16, 2023BourgUS Concarneau3-2
Over 2.5✕