Home/England Tips/Stoke City vs Southampton
ChampionshipSaturday, 31 January 2026 · Full-time0-2✓
STO

Stoke City

VS
SOU

Southampton

Stoke City vs Southampton Prediction

Under2.5 goals
85% confidence

Why we picked this for Stoke City vs Southampton

For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Stoke City vs Southampton, at 85% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Stoke City's games produced 1.6 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Southampton's games averaged 3.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
1.6
avg goals, Stoke City last 5
3.0
avg goals, Southampton last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Stoke City
Birmingham 1-1 Stoke City
Jan 24, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough
Jan 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City 0-0 Queens Park Rangers
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Stoke City 1-0 Coventry City
Jan 10, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Norwich 0-2 Stoke City
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Southampton
Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton
Jan 25, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Southampton 1-0 Sheffield United
Jan 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Southampton 1-2 Hull City
Jan 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Doncaster Rovers 2-3 Southampton
Jan 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Middlesbrough 4-0 Southampton
Jan 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Stoke City vs Southampton, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 23, 2025SouthamptonStoke City1-2
Over 2.5✕
Apr 27, 2024SouthamptonStoke City0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 03, 2023Stoke CitySouthampton0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 03, 2018SouthamptonStoke City0-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 30, 2017Stoke CitySouthampton2-1
Over 2.5✕