Home/Mexico Tips/Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca
Liga MXSaturday, 31 January 2026 · Full-time0-0✕
PUE

Puebla

VS
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction

Over2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca

Our pick for Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca in Liga MX is Over 2.5 goals, with 87% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Puebla's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Deportivo Toluca (1.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 87%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Puebla last 5
1.8
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Puebla
Cruz Azul 1-0 Puebla
Jan 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Puebla 2-1 Mazatlan
Jan 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atlas 1-0 Puebla
Jan 10, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Leon 1-2 Puebla
Nov 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Puebla 0-3 Cruz Azul
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca
Tigres 0-0 Deportivo Toluca
Jan 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 3-1 Santos Laguna
Jan 15, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Monterrey 0-1 Deportivo Toluca
Jan 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 2-1 Tigres
Dec 15, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Tigres 1-0 Deportivo Toluca
Dec 12, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 14, 2025Deportivo TolucaPuebla3-1
Over 2.5✓
Mar 15, 2025PueblaDeportivo Toluca0-3
Over 2.5✓
Oct 23, 2024Deportivo TolucaPuebla5-0
Over 2.5✓
Jan 27, 2024PueblaDeportivo Toluca1-1
Under 2.5✕
Nov 01, 2023Deportivo TolucaPuebla0-1
Under 2.5✕