Home/Spain Tips/Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad
Primera DivisionSunday, 01 February 2026 · Full-time1-1✓
ATH

Athletic Bilbao

VS
REA

Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Under2.5 goals
72% confidence

Why we picked this for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

For this Primera Division fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad, at 72% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Athletic Bilbao's games produced 4.8 goals on average, 5 of them over 2.5. Real Sociedad's games averaged 3.2, with 4 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 1 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 72% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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4.8
avg goals, Athletic Bilbao last 5
3.2
avg goals, Real Sociedad last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
9 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Jan 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sevilla 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Jan 24, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atalanta 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
Jan 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Mallorca 3-2 Athletic Bilbao
Jan 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Cultural Leonesa 3-3 Athletic Bilbao
Jan 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo
Jan 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Real Sociedad 2-1 Barcelona
Jan 18, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Real Sociedad 2-2 Osasuna
Jan 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Getafe 1-2 Real Sociedad
Jan 09, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 01, 2025Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao3-2
Over 2.5✕
May 04, 2025Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao0-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 24, 2024Athletic BilbaoReal Sociedad1-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 13, 2024Athletic BilbaoReal Sociedad2-1
Over 2.5✕
Sep 30, 2023Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao3-0
Over 2.5✕