Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction
Why we picked this for Manchester City vs Newcastle
For this EFL Trophy fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Manchester City vs Newcastle, at 57% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Manchester City's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Newcastle's games averaged 2.4, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 57%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 3-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Manchester City vs Newcastle, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Newcastle | Manchester City | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Manchester City | Newcastle | 4-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Newcastle | Manchester City | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Manchester City | Newcastle | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Newcastle | Manchester City | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |