Home/Portugal Tips/Chaves vs Penafiel
Segunda LigaFriday, 06 February 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
CHA

Chaves

VS
PEN

Penafiel

Chaves vs Penafiel Prediction

Under2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Chaves vs Penafiel

For this Segunda Liga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Chaves vs Penafiel, at 87% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Chaves's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Penafiel's games averaged 1.8, with 2 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. A confidence of 87% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Chaves last 5
1.8
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chaves
Felgueiras 1-0 Chaves
Jan 31, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Chaves 2-2 Lusitania
Jan 24, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Benfica Lisbon B 1-0 Chaves
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Chaves 2-3 Maritimo
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Chaves 0-1 Portimonense
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Penafiel
Penafiel 0-0 Leixões
Jan 30, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Oliveirense 2-1 Penafiel
Jan 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 0-2 Portimonense
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Penafiel 1-2 Pacos Ferreira
Jan 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 1-0 Torreense
Dec 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Chaves vs Penafiel, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 30, 2025PenafielChaves0-2
Under 2.5✓
May 15, 2025PenafielChaves0-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 04, 2025ChavesPenafiel0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 06, 2022PenafielChaves2-1
Over 2.5✕
Oct 10, 2021ChavesPenafiel3-1
Over 2.5✕