Home/Netherlands Tips/AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax
EredivisieSunday, 08 February 2026 · Full-time1-1✕
AZ

AZ Alkmaar

VS
AJA

Ajax

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction

Over2.5 goals
61% confidence

Why we picked this for AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax

For this Eredivisie fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax, at 61% confidence. In their last 5 matches, AZ Alkmaar's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Ajax's games averaged 3.2, with 4 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. The 61% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, AZ Alkmaar last 5
3.2
avg goals, Ajax last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Twente
Feb 03, 2026
Under 2.5✕
AZ Alkmaar 1-3 NEC
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Stormvogels Telstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar
Jan 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Excelsior Rotterdam
Jan 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
PEC Zwolle 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
Jan 17, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Ajax
Excelsior Rotterdam 2-2 Ajax
Feb 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Ajax 1-2 Olympiakos Piraeus
Jan 28, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Jan 24, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Villarreal 1-2 Ajax
Jan 20, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Ajax 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Jan 17, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 14, 2026AZ AlkmaarAjax6-0
Over 2.5✓
Oct 18, 2025AjaxAZ Alkmaar0-2
Under 2.5✕
Mar 16, 2025AjaxAZ Alkmaar2-2
Over 2.5✓
Jan 14, 2025AZ AlkmaarAjax2-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 08, 2024AZ AlkmaarAjax2-1
Over 2.5✓