Home/England Tips/Chelsea vs Leeds United
Premier LeagueTuesday, 10 February 2026 · Full-time2-2✓
CHE

Chelsea

VS
LEE

Leeds United

Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction

Over2.5 goals
50% confidence

Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Leeds United

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Chelsea against Leeds United (Premier League), rated at 50% confidence. Matches involving Chelsea produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Leeds United it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 50%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 2-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
3.0
avg goals, Leeds United last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chelsea
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-3 Chelsea
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Chelsea 3-2 West Ham United
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Napoli 2-3 Chelsea
Jan 28, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea
Jan 25, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Chelsea 1-0 AE Paphos
Jan 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Leeds United
Leeds United 3-1 Nottm Forest
Feb 06, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Leeds United 0-4 Arsenal
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Everton 1-1 Leeds United
Jan 26, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Leeds United 1-0 Fulham
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Derby County 1-3 Leeds United
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Chelsea vs Leeds United, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 03, 2025Leeds UnitedChelsea3-1
Over 2.5✓
Feb 28, 2024ChelseaLeeds United3-2
Over 2.5✓
Mar 04, 2023ChelseaLeeds United1-0
Under 2.5✕
Aug 21, 2022Leeds UnitedChelsea3-0
Over 2.5✓
May 11, 2022Leeds UnitedChelsea0-3
Over 2.5✓