Home/Belgium Tips/Union Saint-Gilloise vs Charleroi
Belgian CupWednesday, 11 February 2026 · Full-time4-1✓
UNI

Union Saint-Gilloise

VS
CHA

Charleroi

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Charleroi Prediction

Over2.5 goals
53% confidence

Why we picked this for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Charleroi

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Union Saint-Gilloise against Charleroi (Belgian Cup), rated at 53% confidence. Matches involving Union Saint-Gilloise produced 1.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Charleroi it is 2.6 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 53% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 4-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.0
avg goals, Union Saint-Gilloise last 5
2.6
avg goals, Charleroi last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
2 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Virton
Feb 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Charleroi 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise
Feb 04, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Club Brugge
Feb 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Atalanta
Jan 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
OH Leuven 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise
Jan 24, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Charleroi
Charleroi 3-4 Cercle Brugge
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Charleroi 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise
Feb 04, 2026
Under 2.5✕
St.Truiden 0-2 Charleroi
Jan 31, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Antwerp 0-2 Charleroi
Jan 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Charleroi 2-0 Standard Liege
Jan 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Charleroi, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 04, 2026CharleroiUnion Saint-Gilloise0-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 14, 2025CharleroiUnion Saint-Gilloise1-1
Under 2.5✕
Oct 18, 2025Union Saint-GilloiseCharleroi3-1
Over 2.5✓
Jan 11, 2025CharleroiUnion Saint-Gilloise1-2
Over 2.5✓
Aug 16, 2024Union Saint-GilloiseCharleroi1-0
Under 2.5✕