Home/Spain Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
Copa del ReyThursday, 12 February 2026 · Full-time4-0✓
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
BAR

Barcelona

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

Over2.5 goals
70% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

Our pick for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona in Copa del Rey is Over 2.5 goals, with 70% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Atletico Madrid's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.4 goals per game in total), against 5 of 5 for Barcelona (3.6 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 70%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
3.6
avg goals, Barcelona last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 0-1 Betis
Feb 08, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Betis 0-5 Atletico Madrid
Feb 05, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Levante UD 0-0 Atletico Madrid
Jan 31, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Jan 28, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 3-0 Mallorca
Jan 25, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Barcelona
Barcelona 3-0 Mallorca
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Albacete 1-2 Barcelona
Feb 03, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Elche 1-3 Barcelona
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Barcelona 4-1 Copenhagen
Jan 28, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Barcelona 3-0 Real Oviedo
Jan 25, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 02, 2025BarcelonaAtletico Madrid3-1
Over 2.5✓
Apr 02, 2025Atletico MadridBarcelona0-1
Under 2.5✕
Mar 16, 2025Atletico MadridBarcelona2-4
Over 2.5✓
Feb 25, 2025BarcelonaAtletico Madrid4-4
Over 2.5✓
Dec 21, 2024BarcelonaAtletico Madrid1-2
Over 2.5✓