Home/England Tips/Cardiff City vs Luton Town
League OneSaturday, 14 February 2026 · Full-time3-1✕
CAR

Cardiff City

VS
LUT

Luton Town

Cardiff City vs Luton Town Prediction

Under2.5 goals
81% confidence

Why we picked this for Cardiff City vs Luton Town

For this League One fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Cardiff City vs Luton Town, at 81% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Cardiff City's games produced 3.2 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Luton Town's games averaged 2.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. A confidence of 81% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 3-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Cardiff City last 5
2.0
avg goals, Luton Town last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Cardiff City
Rotherham United 0-3 Cardiff City
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Burton Albion 2-2 Cardiff City
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Cardiff City 4-0 Barnsley
Jan 27, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Cardiff City 1-1 Stockport County
Jan 24, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Bradford City 1-2 Cardiff City
Jan 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Luton Town
Luton Town 2-1 Bradford City
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Luton Town 1-0 Blackpool
Jan 31, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Huddersfield 1-0 Luton Town
Jan 27, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Plymouth 1-0 Luton Town
Jan 24, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Luton Town 2-2 Lincoln
Jan 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Cardiff City vs Luton Town, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 23, 2025Luton TownCardiff City0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 11, 2025Cardiff CityLuton Town1-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 06, 2024Luton TownCardiff City1-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 31, 2023Luton TownCardiff City1-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 30, 2022Cardiff CityLuton Town1-2
Over 2.5✕