Birmingham
Leeds United
Birmingham vs Leeds United Prediction
Why we picked this for Birmingham vs Leeds United
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Birmingham against Leeds United (FA Cup), rated at 72% confidence. Matches involving Birmingham produced 1.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Leeds United it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 72%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Birmingham vs Leeds United, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 01, 2024 | Leeds United | Birmingham | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Birmingham | Leeds United | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Birmingham | Leeds United | 4-5 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Leeds United | Birmingham | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 06, 2019 | Birmingham | Leeds United | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |