Ligue 1Friday, 20 February 2026 · Full-time2-0✕
STA
Stade Brestois 29
VS
MAR
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29 vs Marseille Prediction
Over2.5 goals
68% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Stade Brestois 29 vs Marseille
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Stade Brestois 29 against Marseille (Ligue 1), rated at 68% confidence. Matches involving Stade Brestois 29 produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Marseille it is 4.0 goals per game, with 5 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 68%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.
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2.6
avg goals, Stade Brestois 29 last 5
4.0
avg goals, Marseille last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Stade Brestois 29
Lille OSC 1-1 Stade Brestois 29
Under 2.5✕Feb 14, 2026
Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lorient
Under 2.5✕Feb 07, 2026
Nice 2-2 Stade Brestois 29
Over 2.5✓Feb 01, 2026
Stade Brestois 29 0-2 Toulouse
Under 2.5✕Jan 25, 2026
Lyon 2-1 Stade Brestois 29
Over 2.5✓Jan 18, 2026
Marseille
Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Over 2.5✓Feb 14, 2026
Paris SG 5-0 Marseille
Over 2.5✓Feb 08, 2026
FC Paris 2-2 Marseille
Over 2.5✓Jan 31, 2026
Club Brugge 3-0 Marseille
Over 2.5✓Jan 28, 2026
Marseille 3-1 Lens
Over 2.5✓Jan 24, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Stade Brestois 29 vs Marseille, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 08, 2025 | Marseille | Stade Brestois 29 | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Marseille | Stade Brestois 29 | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 | Marseille | 1-5 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 | Marseille | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Marseille | Stade Brestois 29 | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |