Home/Switzerland Tips/Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau
Challenge LeagueFriday, 20 February 2026 · Full-time1-1✕
STA

Stade Nyonnais

VS
AAR

Aarau

Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau Prediction

Over2.5 goals
70% confidence

Why we picked this for Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau

For this Challenge League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau, at 70% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Stade Nyonnais's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Aarau's games averaged 3.8, with 4 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 70% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Stade Nyonnais last 5
3.8
avg goals, Aarau last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Stade Nyonnais
Yverdon Sport 1-0 Stade Nyonnais
Feb 13, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Stade Nyonnais 1-1 Bellinzona
Feb 06, 2026
Under 2.5✕
FC Wil 1900 0-0 Stade Nyonnais
Feb 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Stade Nyonnais 2-2 Etoile
Jan 23, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Stade Nyonnais 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax
Dec 19, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Aarau
Lausanne Ouchy 4-2 Aarau
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Aarau 2-2 FC Wil 1900
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Yverdon Sport 1-2 Aarau
Jan 30, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Aarau 1-0 Bellinzona
Jan 24, 2026
Under 2.5✕
FC Vaduz 3-2 Aarau
Dec 19, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 22, 2025AarauStade Nyonnais0-1
Under 2.5✕
Aug 22, 2025Stade NyonnaisAarau4-5
Over 2.5✓
May 23, 2025AarauStade Nyonnais1-1
Under 2.5✕
Jan 24, 2025Stade NyonnaisAarau1-2
Over 2.5✓
Oct 25, 2024AarauStade Nyonnais1-0
Under 2.5✕