The New Saints
Caernarfon
The New Saints vs Caernarfon Prediction
Why we picked this for The New Saints vs Caernarfon
Our pick for The New Saints vs Caernarfon in Premier League is Over 2.5 goals, with 56% confidence. Recent form: 2 of The New Saints's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Caernarfon (1.8 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 56% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-1, so Over 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
The New Saints vs Caernarfon, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | The New Saints | Caernarfon | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Oct 07, 2025 | Caernarfon | The New Saints | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Mar 11, 2025 | The New Saints | Caernarfon | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Caernarfon | The New Saints | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Caernarfon | The New Saints | 2-5 | Over 2.5✓ |