Home/Portugal Tips/Arouca vs Nacional
Primeira LigaSaturday, 21 February 2026 · Full-time3-0✓
ARO

Arouca

VS
NAC

Nacional

Arouca vs Nacional Prediction

Over2.5 goals
71% confidence

Why we picked this for Arouca vs Nacional

For this Primeira Liga fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Arouca vs Nacional, at 71% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Arouca's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Nacional's games averaged 2.2, with 3 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. A confidence of 71% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 3-0, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Arouca last 5
2.2
avg goals, Nacional last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Arouca
Casa Pia Atletico 3-2 Arouca
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Arouca 3-2 Vitoria Guimaraes
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Rio Ave 0-3 Arouca
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Arouca 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Jan 24, 2026
Over 2.5✓
AVS 0-1 Arouca
Jan 17, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Nacional
Nacional 0-1 Porto
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia Atletico
Feb 08, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Nacional
Feb 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Nacional 4-0 Rio Ave
Jan 25, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional
Jan 17, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Arouca vs Nacional, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 20, 2025NacionalArouca1-2
Over 2.5✓
Feb 01, 2025NacionalArouca1-2
Over 2.5✓
Aug 25, 2024AroucaNacional1-0
Under 2.5✕
May 06, 2018AroucaNacional0-1
Under 2.5✕
Dec 22, 2017NacionalArouca2-2
Over 2.5✓