Aston Villa
Leeds United
Aston Villa vs Leeds United Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Leeds United
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Aston Villa against Leeds United (Premier League), rated at 75% confidence. Matches involving Aston Villa produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Leeds United it is 3.2 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 75%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa vs Leeds United, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Leeds United | Aston Villa | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Aston Villa | Leeds United | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Leeds United | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 10, 2022 | Leeds United | Aston Villa | 0-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Aston Villa | Leeds United | 3-3 | Over 2.5✓ |