Home/Australia Tips/Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory
A-LeagueSaturday, 21 February 2026 · Full-time1-3✕
MEL

Melbourne City FC

VS
MEL

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Under2.5 goals
91% confidence

Why we picked this for Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Melbourne City FC against Melbourne Victory (A-League), rated at 91% confidence. Matches involving Melbourne City FC produced 3.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Melbourne Victory it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 91%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-3. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.6
avg goals, Melbourne City FC last 5
3.0
avg goals, Melbourne Victory last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Melbourne City FC
Western Sydney 1-1 Melbourne City FC
Feb 07, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Wellington Phoenix 2-2 Melbourne City FC
Jan 30, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Macarthur Sydney 6-2 Melbourne City FC
Jan 24, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Melbourne City FC 2-1 Auckland
Jan 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Melbourne City FC 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Jan 11, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory 1-1 Brisbane Roar FC
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Wellington Phoenix 2-3 Melbourne Victory
Feb 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Central Coast Mariners 1-0 Melbourne Victory
Feb 01, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory 4-0 Sydney
Jan 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Adelaide United 2-1 Melbourne Victory
Jan 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 20, 2025Melbourne City FCMelbourne Victory0-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 08, 2025Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City FC0-2
Under 2.5✓
May 31, 2025Melbourne City FCMelbourne Victory1-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 22, 2025Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City FC2-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 21, 2024Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City FC1-1
Under 2.5✓