Home/Uruguay Tips/Progresso vs Club Nacional Montevideo
Primera DivisionSaturday, 21 February 2026 · Full-time0-1✕
PRO

Progresso

VS
CLU

Club Nacional Montevideo

Progresso vs Club Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Over2.5 goals
98% confidence

Why we picked this for Progresso vs Club Nacional Montevideo

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Progresso against Club Nacional Montevideo (Primera Division), rated at 98% confidence. Matches involving Progresso produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Club Nacional Montevideo it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 98%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Progresso last 5
2.2
avg goals, Club Nacional Montevideo last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Progresso
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progresso
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Progresso 0-3 Central Esp.
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Juventud 1-1 Progresso
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Progresso 0-5 Montevideo City
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Liverpool Montevideo 3-1 Progresso
Oct 26, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Club Nacional Montevideo
Club Nacional Montevideo 1-1 Racing Club de Montevideo
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Boston River 1-2 Club Nacional Montevideo
Feb 09, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Club Nacional Montevideo 0-0 CA Penarol
Nov 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
CA Penarol 2-2 Club Nacional Montevideo
Nov 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Defensor Sporting 1-1 Club Nacional Montevideo
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Progresso vs Club Nacional Montevideo, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 16, 2025Club Nacional MontevideoProgresso3-1
Over 2.5✓
May 24, 2025Club Nacional MontevideoProgresso1-0
Under 2.5✕
Feb 16, 2025ProgressoClub Nacional Montevideo1-5
Over 2.5✓
Sep 30, 2024ProgressoClub Nacional Montevideo0-3
Over 2.5✓
Mar 23, 2024Club Nacional MontevideoProgresso0-0
Under 2.5✕