Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction

Our pick for Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 93% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Southampton's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Queens Park Rangers (3.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 93%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 5-0. The pick lost.

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