Home/Netherlands Tips/MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap
Eerste DivisieFriday, 27 February 2026 · Full-time3-3✕
MVV

MVV Maastricht

VS
DE

De Graafschap

MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap Prediction

Under2.5 goals
83% confidence

Why we picked this for MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap

For this Eerste Divisie fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap, at 83% confidence. In their last 5 matches, MVV Maastricht's games produced 3.0 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. De Graafschap's games averaged 2.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. A confidence of 83% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 3-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, MVV Maastricht last 5
2.0
avg goals, De Graafschap last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

MVV Maastricht
Roda Kerkrade 2-0 MVV Maastricht
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
ADO Den Haag 3-0 MVV Maastricht
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
MVV Maastricht 2-1 Jong PSV Eindhoven
Feb 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
MVV Maastricht 1-1 Almere City
Feb 02, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Eindhoven 5-0 MVV Maastricht
Jan 30, 2026
Over 2.5✕
De Graafschap
De Graafschap 1-0 Jong FC Utrecht
Feb 20, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Jong PSV Eindhoven 1-2 De Graafschap
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
De Graafschap 4-0 Jong Ajax
Feb 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Helmond Sport 0-0 De Graafschap
Jan 31, 2026
Under 2.5✓
De Graafschap 1-1 Den Bosch
Jan 26, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 22, 2025De GraafschapMVV Maastricht0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 22, 2025De GraafschapMVV Maastricht0-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 08, 2024MVV MaastrichtDe Graafschap0-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 26, 2024De GraafschapMVV Maastricht3-0
Over 2.5✕
Sep 24, 2023MVV MaastrichtDe Graafschap1-2
Over 2.5✕