Home/England Tips/Burnley vs Brentford
Premier LeagueSaturday, 28 February 2026 · Full-time3-4✓
BUR

Burnley

VS
BRE

Brentford

Burnley vs Brentford Prediction

Over2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Burnley vs Brentford

For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Burnley vs Brentford, at 74% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Burnley's games produced 3.0 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Brentford's games averaged 2.2, with 1 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-4. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Burnley last 5
2.2
avg goals, Brentford last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Burnley
Chelsea 1-1 Burnley
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Burnley 1-2 Mansfield Town
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Crystal Palace 2-3 Burnley
Feb 11, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Burnley 0-2 West Ham United
Feb 07, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Sunderland 3-0 Burnley
Feb 02, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Brentford
Brentford 0-2 Brighton
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Macclesfield Town 0-1 Brentford
Feb 16, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Brentford 1-1 Arsenal
Feb 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Newcastle 2-3 Brentford
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford
Feb 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Burnley vs Brentford, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 29, 2025BrentfordBurnley3-1
Over 2.5✓
Mar 16, 2024BurnleyBrentford2-1
Over 2.5✓
Oct 21, 2023BrentfordBurnley3-0
Over 2.5✓
Mar 12, 2022BrentfordBurnley2-0
Under 2.5✕
Oct 30, 2021BurnleyBrentford3-1
Over 2.5✓