Home/England Tips/Leeds United vs Manchester City
Premier LeagueSaturday, 28 February 2026 · Full-time0-1✕
LEE

Leeds United

VS
MAN

Manchester City

Leeds United vs Manchester City Prediction

Over2.5 goals
82% confidence

Why we picked this for Leeds United vs Manchester City

For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Leeds United vs Manchester City, at 82% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Leeds United's games produced 3.2 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Manchester City's games averaged 3.0, with 4 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 82%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Leeds United last 5
3.0
avg goals, Manchester City last 5
100%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Leeds United
Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds United
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Birmingham 1-1 Leeds United
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Chelsea 2-2 Leeds United
Feb 10, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Leeds United 3-1 Nottm Forest
Feb 06, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Leeds United 0-4 Arsenal
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Manchester City
Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Manchester City 2-0 Salford City
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Manchester City 3-0 Fulham
Feb 11, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City
Feb 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Manchester City
Feb 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Leeds United vs Manchester City, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 29, 2025Manchester CityLeeds United3-2
Over 2.5✓
May 06, 2023Manchester CityLeeds United2-1
Over 2.5✓
Dec 28, 2022Leeds UnitedManchester City1-3
Over 2.5✓
Apr 30, 2022Leeds UnitedManchester City0-4
Over 2.5✓
Dec 14, 2021Manchester CityLeeds United7-0
Over 2.5✓