Primera DivisionSaturday, 28 February 2026 · Full-time2-2✕
DAN
Danubio
VS
PRO
Progresso
Danubio vs Progresso Prediction
Under2.5 goals
91% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Danubio vs Progresso
Our pick for Danubio vs Progresso in Primera Division is Under 2.5 goals, with 91% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Danubio's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.4 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Progresso (2.6 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 5 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 91%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.
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2.4
avg goals, Danubio last 5
2.6
avg goals, Progresso last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Danubio
Racing Club de Montevideo 4-0 Danubio
Over 2.5✕Feb 21, 2026
Danubio 2-0 Boston River
Under 2.5✓Feb 15, 2026
CA Cerro 0-1 Danubio
Under 2.5✓Feb 10, 2026
Danubio 2-0 Plaza Colonia CD
Under 2.5✓Nov 08, 2025
Racing Club de Montevideo 1-2 Danubio
Over 2.5✕Nov 02, 2025
Progresso
Progresso 0-1 Club Nacional Montevideo
Under 2.5✓Feb 22, 2026
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progresso
Under 2.5✓Feb 14, 2026
Progresso 0-3 Central Esp.
Over 2.5✕Feb 07, 2026
Juventud 1-1 Progresso
Under 2.5✓Nov 09, 2025
Progresso 0-5 Montevideo City
Over 2.5✕Nov 01, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Danubio vs Progresso, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Progresso | Danubio | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 31, 2025 | Progresso | Danubio | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Danubio | Progresso | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Progresso | Danubio | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Danubio | Progresso | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |