Home/Australia Tips/Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney
A-LeagueSunday, 01 March 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
WEL

Wellington Phoenix

VS
SYD

Sydney

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Prediction

Under2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney

Our pick for Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney in A-League is Under 2.5 goals, with 87% confidence. Recent form: 5 of Wellington Phoenix's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (4.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Sydney (2.4 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. A confidence of 87% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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4.6
avg goals, Wellington Phoenix last 5
2.4
avg goals, Sydney last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix 0-5 Auckland
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Western Sydney 2-2 Wellington Phoenix
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Wellington Phoenix 2-3 Melbourne Victory
Feb 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Wellington Phoenix 2-2 Melbourne City FC
Jan 30, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle Jets 4-1 Wellington Phoenix
Jan 23, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sydney
Sydney 1-0 Brisbane Roar FC
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sydney 1-1 Auckland
Feb 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sydney 1-2 Adelaide United
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Auckland 1-0 Sydney
Feb 07, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sydney 4-1 Western Sydney
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 18, 2026SydneyWellington Phoenix0-2
Under 2.5✓
Mar 16, 2025SydneyWellington Phoenix1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jan 15, 2025Wellington PhoenixSydney0-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 16, 2024Wellington PhoenixSydney2-1
Over 2.5✕
Dec 29, 2023SydneyWellington Phoenix3-1
Over 2.5✕