Deportivo Toluca
Guadalajara
Deportivo Toluca vs Guadalajara Prediction
Why we picked this for Deportivo Toluca vs Guadalajara
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Deportivo Toluca against Guadalajara (Liga MX), rated at 68% confidence. Matches involving Deportivo Toluca produced 1.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Guadalajara it is 3.0 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 68%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Deportivo Toluca vs Guadalajara, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guadalajara | Deportivo Toluca | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Deportivo Toluca | Guadalajara | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jul 07, 2024 | Guadalajara | Deportivo Toluca | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 12, 2024 | Deportivo Toluca | Guadalajara | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 09, 2024 | Guadalajara | Deportivo Toluca | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |