Home/Colombia Tips/Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
Categoría Primera AMonday, 02 March 2026 · Full-time1-0✓
DEP

Deportes Tolima

VS
ATL

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction

Under2.5 goals
89% confidence

Why we picked this for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Deportes Tolima against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Categoría Primera A), rated at 89% confidence. Matches involving Deportes Tolima produced 1.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Atletico Nacional Medellin it is 3.0 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 89%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Deportes Tolima last 5
3.0
avg goals, Atletico Nacional Medellin last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima 0-0 Deportivo Táchira
Feb 27, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Cucuta 3-2 Deportes Tolima
Feb 23, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Táchira 0-1 Deportes Tolima
Feb 20, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Once Caldas
Feb 15, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 Deportes Tolima
Feb 11, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Nacional Medellin
Independiente Santa Fe 1-2 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Nacional Medellin 3-0 Alianza Petrolera
Feb 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Cali 1-0 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Feb 16, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Nacional Medellin 4-1 Fortaleza
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Nacional Medellin 2-1 America de Cali
Feb 05, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 03, 2025Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional Medellin0-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 20, 2025Atletico Nacional MedellinDeportes Tolima4-3
Over 2.5✕
Dec 23, 2024Atletico Nacional MedellinDeportes Tolima2-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 19, 2024Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional Medellin1-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 15, 2024Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional Medellin1-0
Under 2.5✓