Home/France Tips/Marseille vs Toulouse
French CupWednesday, 04 March 2026 · Full-time2-2✓
MAR

Marseille

VS
TOU

Toulouse

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Over2.5 goals
67% confidence

Why we picked this for Marseille vs Toulouse

For this French Cup fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Marseille vs Toulouse, at 67% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Marseille's games produced 4.0 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Toulouse's games averaged 1.4, with 1 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. The 67% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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4.0
avg goals, Marseille last 5
1.4
avg goals, Toulouse last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Marseille
Marseille 3-2 Lyon
Mar 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Marseille
Feb 20, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Paris SG 5-0 Marseille
Feb 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
FC Paris 2-2 Marseille
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Toulouse
Stade Rennais 1-0 Toulouse
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 1-1 FC Paris
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Le Havre 2-1 Toulouse
Feb 15, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Angers SCO 1-0 Toulouse
Feb 08, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 0-0 Auxerre
Feb 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Marseille vs Toulouse, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 29, 2025MarseilleToulouse2-2
Over 2.5✓
Apr 06, 2025MarseilleToulouse3-2
Over 2.5✓
Aug 31, 2024ToulouseMarseille1-3
Over 2.5✓
Apr 21, 2024ToulouseMarseille2-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 17, 2023MarseilleToulouse0-0
Under 2.5✕