Home/Mexico Tips/Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca
Liga MXWednesday, 04 March 2026 · Full-time2-3✕
PUM

Pumas UNAM

VS
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction

Under2.5 goals
77% confidence

Why we picked this for Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Pumas UNAM against Deportivo Toluca (Liga MX), rated at 77% confidence. Matches involving Pumas UNAM produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Deportivo Toluca it is 1.6 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-3. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Pumas UNAM last 5
1.6
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Pumas UNAM
Club Tijuana 1-1 Pumas UNAM
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Pumas UNAM 2-0 Monterrey
Feb 23, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Puebla 2-3 Pumas UNAM
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atlas 2-2 Pumas UNAM
Feb 08, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Pumas UNAM 4-0 Santos Laguna
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca
Deportivo Toluca 2-0 Guadalajara
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Club Necaxa 0-3 Deportivo Toluca
Feb 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 1-0 Club Tijuana
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul
Feb 08, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Puebla 0-0 Deportivo Toluca
Jan 31, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 17, 2025Deportivo TolucaPumas UNAM1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jan 30, 2025Pumas UNAMDeportivo Toluca1-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 06, 2024Deportivo TolucaPumas UNAM1-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 18, 2024Deportivo TolucaPumas UNAM3-0
Over 2.5✕
Aug 19, 2023Pumas UNAMDeportivo Toluca1-1
Under 2.5✓