Home/Portugal Tips/Sporting Lisbon vs Porto
Portuguese CupTuesday, 03 March 2026 · Full-time1-0✓
SPO

Sporting Lisbon

VS
POR

Porto

Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction

Under2.5 goals
98% confidence

Why we picked this for Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

For this Portuguese Cup fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Sporting Lisbon vs Porto, at 98% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Sporting Lisbon's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Porto's games averaged 2.2, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 98%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Sporting Lisbon last 5
2.2
avg goals, Porto last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Estoril
Feb 27, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Moreirense 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Famalicao
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Porto 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Feb 09, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Nacional
Feb 01, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Porto
Porto 3-1 Arouca
Feb 27, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 0-1 Porto
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Porto 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Feb 09, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Casa Pia Atletico 2-1 Porto
Feb 02, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Sporting Lisbon vs Porto, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 09, 2026PortoSporting Lisbon1-1
Under 2.5✓
Aug 30, 2025Sporting LisbonPorto1-2
Over 2.5✕
Feb 07, 2025PortoSporting Lisbon1-1
Under 2.5✓
Aug 31, 2024Sporting LisbonPorto2-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 28, 2024PortoSporting Lisbon2-2
Over 2.5✕