Home/Italy Tips/Bari vs Empoli
Serie BWednesday, 04 March 2026 · Full-time2-1✓
BAR

Bari

VS
EMP

Empoli

Bari vs Empoli Prediction

Over2.5 goals
80% confidence

Why we picked this for Bari vs Empoli

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Bari against Empoli (Serie B), rated at 80% confidence. Matches involving Bari produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Empoli it is 3.2 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 3 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 80%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Bari last 5
3.2
avg goals, Empoli last 5
100%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bari
Sampdoria 0-2 Bari
Feb 27, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Padova 1-1 Bari
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Bari 1-2 Südtirol
Feb 15, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Bari 0-0 Spezia Calcio
Feb 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
AC Mantova 2-1 Bari
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Empoli
Empoli 1-1 Cesena
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Frosinone Calcio 2-2 Empoli
Feb 20, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Empoli 1-1 Reggiana 1919
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Empoli 1-2 Juve Stabia
Feb 11, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Palermo 3-2 Empoli
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 3 meetings

Bari vs Empoli, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 29, 2025EmpoliBari5-0
Over 2.5✓
Jan 27, 2018BariEmpoli0-4
Over 2.5✓
Sep 03, 2017EmpoliBari3-2
Over 2.5✓