Home/France Tips/Lyon vs Lens
French CupThursday, 05 March 2026 · Full-time2-2✕
LYO

Lyon

VS
LEN

Lens

Lyon vs Lens Prediction

Under2.5 goals
86% confidence

Why we picked this for Lyon vs Lens

For this French Cup fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Lyon vs Lens, at 86% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Lyon's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Lens's games averaged 3.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 86%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Lyon last 5
3.4
avg goals, Lens last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lyon
Marseille 3-2 Lyon
Mar 01, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Strasbourg 3-1 Lyon
Feb 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Lyon 2-0 Nice
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Nantes 0-1 Lyon
Feb 07, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Lyon 1-0 Lille OSC
Feb 01, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Lens
Strasbourg 1-1 Lens
Feb 27, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Lens 2-3 AS Monaco
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
FC Paris 0-5 Lens
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Lens 3-1 Stade Rennais
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Lens 1-0 Le Havre
Jan 30, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Lyon vs Lens, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 16, 2025LensLyon0-1
Under 2.5✓
May 04, 2025LyonLens1-2
Over 2.5✕
Sep 15, 2024LensLyon0-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 03, 2024LyonLens0-3
Over 2.5✕
Dec 02, 2023LensLyon3-2
Over 2.5✕