Home/France Tips/Toulouse vs Marseille
Ligue 1Saturday, 07 March 2026 · Full-time0-1✕
TOU

Toulouse

VS
MAR

Marseille

Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction

Over2.5 goals
77% confidence

Why we picked this for Toulouse vs Marseille

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Toulouse against Marseille (Ligue 1), rated at 77% confidence. Matches involving Toulouse produced 1.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Marseille it is 4.0 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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1.4
avg goals, Toulouse last 5
4.0
avg goals, Marseille last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Toulouse
Stade Rennais 1-0 Toulouse
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 1-1 FC Paris
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Le Havre 2-1 Toulouse
Feb 15, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Angers SCO 1-0 Toulouse
Feb 08, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 0-0 Auxerre
Feb 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Marseille
Marseille 3-2 Lyon
Mar 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Marseille
Feb 20, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Paris SG 5-0 Marseille
Feb 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
FC Paris 2-2 Marseille
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Toulouse vs Marseille, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 29, 2025MarseilleToulouse2-2
Over 2.5✓
Apr 06, 2025MarseilleToulouse3-2
Over 2.5✓
Aug 31, 2024ToulouseMarseille1-3
Over 2.5✓
Apr 21, 2024ToulouseMarseille2-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 17, 2023MarseilleToulouse0-0
Under 2.5✕