EredivisieSaturday, 07 March 2026 · Full-time3-1✓
GRO
Groningen
VS
AJA
Ajax
Groningen vs Ajax Prediction
Over2.5 goals
76% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Groningen vs Ajax
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Groningen against Ajax (Eredivisie), rated at 76% confidence. Matches involving Groningen produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Ajax it is 2.6 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 76%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick won.
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3.2
avg goals, Groningen last 5
2.6
avg goals, Ajax last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Groningen
Volendam 3-2 Groningen
Over 2.5✓Mar 01, 2026
Twente 2-1 Groningen
Over 2.5✓Feb 22, 2026
Groningen 1-2 Utrecht
Over 2.5✓Feb 14, 2026
Groningen 1-2 PSV
Over 2.5✓Feb 08, 2026
Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 Groningen
Under 2.5✕Jan 31, 2026
Ajax
PEC Zwolle 0-0 Ajax
Under 2.5✕Mar 01, 2026
Ajax 1-1 NEC
Under 2.5✕Feb 21, 2026
Ajax 4-1 Fortuna Sittard
Over 2.5✓Feb 14, 2026
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax
Under 2.5✕Feb 08, 2026
Excelsior Rotterdam 2-2 Ajax
Over 2.5✓Feb 01, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Groningen vs Ajax, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 02, 2025 | Ajax | Groningen | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 14, 2025 | Groningen | Ajax | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Ajax | Groningen | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 16, 2023 | Groningen | Ajax | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Ajax | Groningen | 6-1 | Over 2.5✓ |