Home/South Korea Tips/Gwangju vs Incheon United
K-LeagueSaturday, 07 March 2026 · Full-time3-2✕
GWA

Gwangju

VS
INC

Incheon United

Gwangju vs Incheon United Prediction

Under2.5 goals
85% confidence

Why we picked this for Gwangju vs Incheon United

For this K-League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Gwangju vs Incheon United, at 85% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Gwangju's games produced 1.2 goals on average, 0 of them over 2.5. Incheon United's games averaged 2.2, with 3 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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1.2
avg goals, Gwangju last 5
2.2
avg goals, Incheon United last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Gwangju
Jeju United 0-0 Gwangju
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Suwon FC 0-1 Gwangju
Nov 30, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Gwangju 2-0 Ulsan Hyundai
Nov 22, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Daegu 1-0 Gwangju
Nov 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Gwangju 2-0 Jeju United
Nov 02, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Incheon United
Incheon United 1-2 Seoul
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Daegu 1-3 Incheon United
Nov 24, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Incheon United 1-2 Daejeon Citizen
Nov 10, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Jeonbuk 0-0 Incheon United
Nov 02, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Incheon United 1-0 Gwangju
Oct 27, 2024
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Gwangju vs Incheon United, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 27, 2024Incheon UnitedGwangju1-0
Under 2.5✓
Jul 14, 2024GwangjuIncheon United0-2
Under 2.5✓
May 25, 2024Incheon UnitedGwangju1-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 03, 2024GwangjuIncheon United2-3
Over 2.5✕
Oct 28, 2023GwangjuIncheon United0-2
Under 2.5✓