Home/Switzerland Tips/Lugano vs Luzern
Super LeagueSaturday, 07 March 2026 · Full-time1-3✓
LUG

Lugano

VS
LUZ

Luzern

Lugano vs Luzern Prediction

Over2.5 goals
51% confidence

Why we picked this for Lugano vs Luzern

For this Super League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Lugano vs Luzern, at 51% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Lugano's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Luzern's games averaged 4.8, with 5 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 51% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 1-3. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Lugano last 5
4.8
avg goals, Luzern last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lugano
Lugano 2-1 FC Sion
Mar 04, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Grasshoppers Zurich 1-0 Lugano
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Lugano 2-1 Lausanne-Sport
Feb 22, 2026
Over 2.5✓
FC Basel 1-1 Lugano
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Lugano 1-1 Servette
Feb 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Luzern
Luzern 1-2 Young Boys
Mar 04, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Thun 2-1 Luzern
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Luzern 4-2 FC Basel
Feb 22, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Zurich 1-4 Luzern
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Luzern 4-3 Grasshoppers Zurich
Feb 10, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Lugano vs Luzern, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 17, 2026LuzernLugano2-5
Over 2.5✓
Oct 30, 2025LuganoLuzern2-0
Under 2.5✕
May 04, 2025LuzernLugano0-2
Under 2.5✕
Feb 15, 2025LuganoLuzern2-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 07, 2024LuzernLugano1-4
Over 2.5✓