Home/Portugal Tips/Benfica vs Porto
Primeira LigaSunday, 08 March 2026 · Full-time2-2✕
BEN

Benfica

VS
POR

Porto

Benfica vs Porto Prediction

Under2.5 goals
69% confidence

Why we picked this for Benfica vs Porto

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Benfica against Porto (Primeira Liga), rated at 69% confidence. Matches involving Benfica produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Porto it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 69%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Benfica last 5
2.2
avg goals, Porto last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Benfica
Gil Vicente 1-2 Benfica
Mar 02, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Real Madrid 2-1 Benfica
Feb 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Benfica 3-0 AVS
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Benfica 0-1 Real Madrid
Feb 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Porto
Porto 3-1 Arouca
Feb 27, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 0-1 Porto
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Porto 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Feb 09, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Casa Pia Atletico 2-1 Porto
Feb 02, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Benfica vs Porto, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 05, 2025PortoBenfica0-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 06, 2025PortoBenfica1-4
Over 2.5✕
Nov 10, 2024BenficaPorto4-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 03, 2024PortoBenfica5-0
Over 2.5✕
Sep 29, 2023BenficaPorto1-0
Under 2.5✓